Colby is Portfolio Manager/Municipal Bond ETFs with more than 30 years of fixed income experience.
While fund managers, financial advisors, and a growing population of domestic and international investors appear to remain fixated on all things Puerto Rico, the municipal bond marketplace generally has posted positive performance so far this year for those who have remained invested and focused on the broader fundamentals.
Municipal bond returns in every sector were up modestly in the month of February, building on the good start to 2014 that we saw in January. Despite the negative headlines, the best performing part of the municipal bond market has been Puerto Rico. The Barclay's Puerto Rico Municipal Bond Index returned 6.76% year-to-date as of February 28, 2014.
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of February 28, 2014.
New issuance, however, has been tepid. Additionally, as illustrated in the chart below, total supply for February was nearly 50% lower than in February 2013. Flows into municipal bond mutual funds and ETFs have been net positive in 2014. Furthermore, the municipal yield curve is steep and the ratio of municipal yields to Treasury yields continues, in my opinion, to support the argument for municipal bonds.
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of February 20, 2014. The 30-day visible supply is compiled daily from both the competitive and negotiated bond offerings calendars. It reflects the dollar volume of bonds expected to reach the market in the next 30 days. Issues maturing in 13 months or more are included.
I believe the income generated by municipal bonds, on a taxable-equivalent basis, continues to be very attractive. All of the foregoing has fostered what I see as a decent environment for potentially finding value in the asset class.
Municipal bond ETFs have seen intraday-trading volumes pick up in February as compared to volumes seen in the past few months. The long-term municipal to Treasury yield ratio is in excess of 100% for AAA bonds maturing 15 years and longer, which seems to me evidence of investors asset allocating to reduce duration, or sensitivity to changes in interest rates.
The Barclays Puerto Rico Municipal Bond Index is considered representative of the broad market for investment-grade, tax-exempt bonds from issuers in the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico with a maturity of at least one year. The Market Vectors High-Yield, Short High-Yield, Long, Intermediate, and Short Municipal Index ETFs invest assets in municipal bonds issued by Puerto Rico. (Click the preceding hyperlinks to view current geographic weightings.) This means the Funds are susceptible to additional risks, including economic, political, regulatory, or other factors adversely affecting issuers in Puerto Rico. Recent downgrades affecting these bonds may exacerbate Puerto Rico's current financial difficulties and the liquidity and risk profile of its outstanding bonds, which may affect these Funds.
IMPORTANT MUNI NATION® DISCLOSURE
Van Eck Global does not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. Investors should discuss their individual circumstances with appropriate professionals before making any decisions. This information should not be construed as sales or marketing material or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument, product or service.
Please note this post represents the views of the author and these views may change at any time and from time to time. MUNI NATION is not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results or investment advice. Current market conditions may not continue. Non-Van Eck Global proprietary information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Van Eck Global. MUNI NATION is a trademark of Van Eck Associates Corporation.
All indices listed are unmanaged indices and do not reflect the payment of transaction costs, advisory fees or expenses that are associated with an investment in a Fund. An index’s performance is not illustrative of a Fund’s performance. Indices are not securities in which investments can be made.
Any discussion of specific securities mentioned in the commentary is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy these securities.
Municipal bonds are subject to risks related to litigation, legislation, political change, conditions in underlying sectors or in local business communities and economies, bankruptcy or other changes in the issuer’s financial condition, and/or the discontinuance of taxes supporting the project or assets or the inability to collect revenues for the project or from the assets. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. Additional risks include credit, interest rate, call, reinvestment, tax, market and lease obligation risk. High-yield municipal bonds are subject to greater risk of loss of income and principal than higher-rated securities, and are likely to be more sensitive to adverse economic changes or individual municipal developments than those of higher-rated securities. Municipal bonds may be less liquid than taxable bonds.
The income generated from some types of municipal bonds may be subject to state and local taxes as well as to federal taxes on capital gains and may also be subject to alternative minimum tax.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor
666 Third Avenue
New York, NY 10017
Munis: Municipals in 2016
Munis: Potential Puerto Rico Defaults and Reserve Draws
Munis: Go Long for Rising Rates: Just the Facts - Part 2
Munis: Why Duration Matters
Munis: Just the Facts - Part 1
Munis: “Fed” and Fed Up?
Munis: A Better Road for Tomorrow
Munis: Value Seen in Muni Bond Closed-End Funds
Munis: Video Viewpoint with Colby
Munis: Back to Fundamentals
Munis: Stirred, Not Shaken
Munis: Summer of Discontent
Munis: No Summer Doldrums
Munis: Value in Municipal Closed-End Funds?
Munis: Halftime Perspective
Munis: Puerto Rico at a Crossroads
Munis: Infrastructure, All Talk?
Munis: 2Q'15 - No June Swoon But Finish Strong?
Munis: Talking Points on Chicago Downgrade
Munis: Update on the Commonwealth
666 Third Avenue
New York, NY 10017
This website is published in the United States for residents of specified countries. Investors are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this website. Nothing on this website should be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell shares of any investment in any jurisdiction where the offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction, nor is it intended as investment, tax, financial, or legal advice. Investors should seek such professional advice for their particular situation and jurisdiction.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. An investor should carefully consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. This and other information can be found in the appropriate regulatory documents made available for a specified country as designated in this website.