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A crawling peg regime might be on the cards in Argentina, while Brazil’s benign inflation numbers vindicated the central bank’s decision to remain on hold in September.
The market was disappointed by a lack of detail in Turkey’s new economic plan. The central banks in Brazil and South Africa prepare ground for policy tightening.
Below-consensus inflation in South Africa should put the central bank’s mind at ease for now. Brazilian polls point to further voter polarization, while China keeps a very close eye on its currency.
The market reaction to the trade war escalation was muted, but risks to the Chinese renminbi are real and so are potential spillovers to other emerging currencies.
Several upside activity surprises in emerging markets brightened the mood this morning. However, Indonesia’s data flow points to more pressure on the rupiah going forward.
Emerging Markets Policy Revenge Rate Hike Boosts Turkey Credibility Change in China’s Credit Mix Election Polls Hit Brazil Assets Turkey on the Brink of Stagflation Unexpected Turn in Brazil Election Campaign No Pressure to Tighten in Brazil Emerging Markets Inflation Momentum Is Turning Markets Still Question Argentina Policies China Continues to Open Financial Markets
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