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VanEck Blog - Emerging Markets Debt Daily
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 18, 2019
South Africa: Inflation Cools Rate Expectations
Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
A spike in South Africa’s inflation reduces the probability of a rate cut tomorrow. Signs of moderation in Poland’s labor market can mitigate the inflationary impact of an 80% minimum wage increase.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 17, 2019
China Central Bank Proceeds with Caution
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreChina’s central bank decided to keep its 1-year medium-term loan rate unchanged, surprising the market which was expecting a cut. Russia’s industrial production rebounded in August despite fewer working days.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 16, 2019
China – Looking Beyond Growth Rates
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreChina’s growth moderation in August reflected both trade uncertainty and deliberate policy choices. The price of oil surged on the back of the Saudi oil attack, ruffling risky assets.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 13, 2019
Brazil Growth Surprises Boost Rebound Expectations
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreBrazil’s stronger than expected economic activity indicators raise hopes for the growth rebound. Turkey’s current account surplus reached a multi-year high in July.
Emerging Markets Debt DailySeptember 12, 2019
Turkey - Cutting Rates with Relish
by Natalia Gurushina, Economist, Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Read moreTurkey seized the “disinflation moment” and delivered a larger than expected policy rate cut. A lack of inflation pressures in India leaves ample room for more policy easing.