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  • Investment Outlook

    Navigating the Markets: Fixed Income ETF Discounts

    Adam Phillips, COO
    James Kim, Director, ETFs
    March 20, 2020
     

    Volatile market conditions have led to unprecedented discounts in fixed income ETFs. On a recent webinar, Navigating the Markets: An Open Q&A with Jan van Eck and Team, COO Adam Phillips and ETF Capital Markets Desk Director James Kim addressed several of the top questions we have been receiving about this.

    We are seeing discounts that we haven’t seen before. What do you think is causing this?

    Adam Phillips: We have been getting a lot of questions on bond ETFs, and we take the trading experience of our clients very seriously. While VanEck does not control the point of sale on exchange, we are keeping a very close eye on this and doing what we can.

    Extremely volatile conditions and a stressed credit market led to some highly unusual dislocations in secondary market pricing and trading in fixed income ETFs. About 10 days ago, we started to see fixed income ETFs across the bond-type spectrum—from Treasuries to corporates, high yield corporates, munis, etc.— trade at significant discount to their net asset value (NAV).

    As the certainty of pricing and liquidity became harder and harder to determine, especially with the very large size selling that we’re seeing, the discounts became more and more evident. Although the trading volumes of fixed income ETFs have been huge, the ETF vehicle has held up well for transferring risk during a turbulent market environment—albeit the cost to access the liquidity has been steep, as we all can see.

    How is VanEck responding to this?

    Adam: We here at VanEck have remained in very close contact with our market making partners to understand what they are seeing, what they are doing and what we can do to facilitate the closing of the discounts. We are having frequent dialogues with market participants to understand their price discovery process and whether there is anything we can revisit and examine in our redemption process to improve and address the current market conditions.

    Rest assured, we are doing what we can to relieve the stress that is out there.

    We have received perhaps the most questions about VanEck Vectors® High-Yield Municipal Index ETF (HYD®). Can you put what’s happening with HYD into context?

    James Kim: Looking back at the history of HYD, the phenomenon that we are experiencing now, as it relates to heightened or pronounced discounts, has been seen before, albeit much more exacerbated this time around. But the root cause remains the same: wider spreads and reduced liquidity of the underlying, which is being conveyed through the secondary market price of the ETF and creating the discount that I am sure everyone has noticed.

    From our standpoint, there have been no NAV issues thus far. NAV uses matrix pricing, which is done by a third-party data provider and involves assessing trades, dealer runs, quotes, etc. to come up with a price that they think a particular bond is worth on any particular given day. Because everything trades over the counter in fixed income and because, on any given day, a particular bond—and in this case a high yield muni bond—may not even trade, it’s no easy task for this third-party provider to come up with a valuation of the bond. NAVs are calculated off the back of that.

    NAVs can differ from secondary market ETF prices, which are based on prices that market makers think the bonds are worth, as well as the costs associated with selling or buying those bonds. In this case, due to the cost of transacting in these bonds, as well as the level of uncertainty that the entire market is seeing, market makers are pricing these bonds lower than net asset value.

    I think from a NAV return standpoint, we have been almost neck and neck with what the index has been disseminating. Through March 16, we have seen a tracking difference of 33bps.

    As it relates to the primary market process for HYD, which is one of the main processes that the market maker will utilize to offset or put on risk, that has been intact. There has been no limitations on redemptions. Everything has been almost status quo from our standpoint. I think it is important to keep in mind that market prices for ETFs are a price discovery process. Regardless of the magnitude of discount that we are seeing, we believe that a secondary market price is the true price of liquidity at this point, given what is going on in the secondary market.

    In previous cases, when there have been huge discounts in the bond market, how was that resolved?

    James: The most recent example that we’ve seen is probably HYD and its performance, during the 2016 election. We saw pronounced discounts relative to what we were used to seeing for HYD, for an extended period of time. In that case as well, the secondary market price acted as a leading indicator of the valuation of the portfolio, and within a week or so, we saw that discount collapse.

    Periods of Large Discounts in HYD

    HYD_DiscountTable_2020.03.png

    In the current situation, there are more variables at work, so I don’t think it is an apples-to-apples comparison. However, we do believe that this discount should slowly start to collapse at some point.

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