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  • Guided Allocation

    All-in for Yield in Municipal Bonds

    David Schassler, Portfolio Manager
    July 26, 2019
     

    The VanEck Vectors® Municipal Allocation ETF (MAAX) tactically allocates among VanEck municipal bond ETFs based on interest rate and credit opportunities to seek capital appreciation plus tax-exempt income. It uses a data-driven, rules-based process that leverages technical and macroeconomic indicators to guide credit and duration exposure, seeking to avoid market risks when appropriate. The expanded PDF version of this commentary can be downloaded here.

    Overview

     The VanEck Vectors® Municipal Allocation ETF’s (MAAX’s) yield to worst is 3.15%vs. 2.02% for the Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Bond Index, as of June 30, 2019. In June, MAAX returned 0.40% vs. 0.37% for the Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Bond Index. MAAX benefited from its exposure to high yield bonds. However, its exposure to long duration fixed income was a drag on performance.


    Average Annual Total Returns (%) as of June 30, 2019
      1 Mo YTD 1 Year Life
    (05/15/19)
    MAAX (NAV) 0.40 - - 1.04
    MAAX (Share Price) 0.24 - - 0.96
    Bloomberg Barclays
    Municipal Bond Index
    0.37 5.09 6.71 0.81


    Average Annual Total Returns (%) as of March 31, 2019
      1 Mo YTD 1 Year Life
    (05/15/19)
    MAAX (NAV) - - - -
    MAAX (Share Price) - - - -
    Bloomberg Barclays
    Municipal Bond Index
    1.58 2.90 5.38 -

     

    The table presents past performance which is no guarantee of future results and which may be lower or higher than current performance. Returns reflect temporary contractual fee waivers and/or expense reim­bursements. Had the ETF incurred all expenses and fees, investment re­turns would have been reduced. Investment returns and ETF share values will fluctuate so that investors’ shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. ETF returns assume that distributions have been reinvested in the Fund at “Net Asset Value” (NAV). NAV is determined at the close of each business day, and represents the dollar value of one share of the fund; it is calculated by taking the total assets of the fund, subtracting total liabilities, and dividing by the total number of shares outstanding. The NAV is not necessarily the same as the ETF’s intraday trading value. VanEck Vectors ETF investors should not expect to buy or sell shares at NAV.

    Returns less than a year are not annualized.

    Expenses: Gross 0.65%; Net 0.36%. Expenses are capped contractually at 0.08% through February 1, 2020.  Expenses are based on estimated amounts for the current fiscal year. Cap exclude certain expenses, such as interest, acquired fund fees and expenses, and trading expenses.

    Muni Risk Factors

     MAAX remains overweight both credit risk and duration risk in July. Currently, MAAX’s measures of both credit and duration risk are low. The risks are each scored from 0 to 100. A score below 50 implies that risk is low and a score of 50 or higher implies that risk is high. The risk score of each is currently 0, which leads to our overweight credit and duration positioning.

    Credit Total Risk Score

    Credit Total Risk Score

     

    Duration Total Risk Score

    Duration Total Risk Score

     

    The factors that determine the total level of both credit risk and duration risk are: momentum, volatility and mean reversion. The same scoring methodology is used for each. Scores below 50 are bullish and scores 50 or higher are bearish. The momentum score for both credit and duration risk is currently 0.

    Credit Trend Risk Score

    Credit Momentum Risk Score

    Duration Trend Risk Score

    Duration Momentum Risk Score


    The volatility risk factor uses both realized and implied indicators. Currently, the volatility risk score is 25 for both credit and duration:

    Credit Volatility Risk Score

    Credit Volatility Risk Score

    Duration Volatility Risk Score

    Duration Volatility Risk Score


    The last category of factors is mean reversion. These seek to identify divergences in typical fixed income relationships and include credit spreads, yield ratios and cross-asset correlations. These metrics, too, are currently bullish.

    Credit Mean Reversion Risk Score

    Credit Mean Reversion Risk Score

    Duration Mean Reversion Risk Score

    Duration Mean Reversion Risk Score


    Given the modest risk levels measured by MAAX, it is taking both credit risk and duration risk in the pursuit of yield. As always, these risks are monitored closely and MAAX’s exposures will be adjusted if the risk environment changes materially.

     
    Click here for performance as of the most recent month end.

    30-day SEC yield for MAAX was 3.25% (unsubsidized -0.09%) as of 6/30/19.


    IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

    This content is published in the United States for residents of specified countries. Investors are subject to securities and tax regulations within their applicable jurisdictions that are not addressed on this content. Nothing in this content should be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell shares of any investment in any jurisdiction where the offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction, nor is it intended as investment, tax, financial, or legal advice. Investors should seek such professional advice for their particular situation and jurisdiction.

    An investment in the Fund may be subject to risks which include, fund of funds risk, high portfolio turnover, model and data risks, management, operational, authorized participant concentration and absence of prior active market risks, trading issues, market, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares and non-diversified risks. The funds may be subject to following risks as a result of investing in Exchange Traded Products including municipal securities, credit, high yield securities, tax, interest rate, call, state concentration and sector concentration risks. Municipal bonds may be less liquid than taxable bonds. There is no guarantee that a Funds’ income will be exempt from federal, state or local income taxes, and changes in those tax rates or in alternative minimum tax (AMT) rates or in the tax treatment of municipal bonds may make them less attractive as investments and cause them to lose value. Capital gains, if any, are subject to capital gains tax. A portion of the dividends you receive may be subject to AMT.

    Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Bond Index is considered representative of the broad market for investment grade, tax-exempt municipal bonds with a maturity of at least one year.

    The VanEck Vectors ETFs are not sponsored by, endorsed, sold or promoted by Bloomberg or Barclays and neither Bloomberg nor Barclays makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in them. The only relationship to the Adviser with respect to the VanEck Vectors ETFs is the licensing of certain trademarks and trade names of Bloomberg and Barclays and the BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS INDICES that are determined, composed and calculated by Bloomberg without regard to the Adviser or any investor in the VanEck Vectors ETFs.

    Fund shares are not individually redeemable and will be issued and redeemed at their NAV only through certain authorized broker-dealers in large, specified blocks of shares called "creation units" and otherwise can be bought and sold only through exchange trading. Shares may trade at a premium or discount to their NAV in the secondary market. You will incur brokerage expenses when trading Fund shares in the secondary market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Returns for actual Fund investments may differ from what is shown because of differences in timing, the amount invested, and fees and expenses.

    Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contains this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.