Trends with Benefits #91: The Stage is Set for Emerging Markets Bonds with Eric Fine
10 January 2023
Listen Time 32:52 MIN
Trends with Benefits kicks off the New Year as I chat with Eric Fine, Portfolio Manager of VanEck’s active Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategies. We discuss the U.S. economy, including monetary policy and the strength of the dollar, and how these play into foreign exchange rates and the performance of emerging markets assets.
Eric outlines the investment case for emerging markets (EM) bonds. Firstly, EMs have low debt. Secondly, they have independent central banks which can help stabilize inflation and, for countries that are toward the end of their rate hiking cycle, investors may benefit when rates are cut. Lastly, food and energy price inflation are supportive for EMs.
Additionally, Eric, a former Russia analyst, details how he avoided Russia in his investment strategy this year. He also explains that he views the redirection of energy from Russia to Asia as a long-term trend.
Show Notes:
02:28 Are Bonds Back?
03:32 U.S. Monetary Policy and Emerging Markets
06:35 Duration in EM Bonds
09:42 The U.S. Dollar and FX Rates
19:40 The Risk of Developed Markets vs. Emerging Markets
24:23 How Eric Avoided Russia
29:48 Long-Term Trend
30:30 Trend or Fad
Trend or Fad
Listen for Eric’s take on the creator economy, ESG and artificial intelligence.
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