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The market expects at least four rate hikes beginning in March setting the stage for a tough year for fixed income. Could emerging market bonds be a solution to meeting demand for income?
Emerging markets central banks have been hiking rates to stay ahead of inflation. The swiftness of these hikes and higher than expected growth may provide support for EM currencies.
We believe that the easing of lockdown measures, coupled with strong DM growth, should support EM recoveries over the remainder of this year.
The Fund remains more defensive on EM debt and continues to favor Mexico, Brazil, and South Africa, with Peru and UAE among top exposures.
In our view, the Evergrande situation is non-systemic and won't dramatically affect the property market or the economy broadly, and the growth drag will be offset by liquidity measures.