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It’s one of the basic truths of investing that you must always think ahead rather than look back. After all, if nothing else investing is about discounting the future.
That’s why many clever investors are upping their investment in China, putting it at the core of their portfolios. Very simply, the country is the fastest-growing major economy in the world, with some of its most dynamic businesses.
Looked at objectively, one big gap shows why they find China so compelling. While the Chinese economy now accounts for 16% of global GDP, one large global stock market index only weights it at 5%.1Logically, that suggests China stocks should rise as the gap closes.
Source: World Bank World Development Indicators for 2020 GDP data, OECD Long-term baseline projections, No. 103 for 2040 GDP projections.
But China is changing fast so you can’t invest blindly. Its brand of state-led capitalism has been the success story of our time, with long-term benefits for investors, but it has brought some volatility along the way.
For this reason, in my opinion you need to take a different approach to investing in tomorrow’s China. We follow three broad rules.
All of this means that investing profitably in China takes specialist expertise. The country has enormous potential, but you need to invest in the best companies with the best sustainability credentials.
Our VanEck Vectors™ New China ESG UCITS ETF selects its holdings after intense financial and sustainability analysis.
Its approach reminds me of a Chinese proverb that says ‘don’t miss opportunities: time doesn’t come round again.’ China’s catch up with developed economies might just be one of those opportunities – but taking advantage of it requires a distinct approach.
2In constant 2010 US$
VanEck Asset Management B.V., the management company of VanEck Vectors™ New China ESG UCITS ETF (the "ETF"), a sub-fund of VanEck VectorsTM UCITS ETFs plc, a UCITS management company incorporated under Dutch law registered with the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM). The ETF is registered with the Central Bank of Ireland and tracks an equity index. The value of the ETF’s assets may fluctuate heavily as a result of the investment strategy. If the underlying index falls in value, the ETF will also lose value.
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