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Expanding AI Footprint Lifts Moat Stocks

10 June 2026

Read Time 9 MIN

Software and cybersecurity earnings showed that AI is broadening demand for enterprise tech, not eroding it, as Moat Indexes rebounded late in the month.

Key Risks:

Equity-market risk; concentration in technology shares; small-/mid-cap volatility; currency fluctuations; integration of sustainability risks may result in certain investments being avoided or divested, which could limit diversification; index methodology risk - this risk means that if the index changes its rules or which companies are included, it could impact how the fund performs. These factors can lead to significant losses, and past rallies may not be repeated. Complete information on all risks is available in the prospectus and in the KID/KIID, which can be accessed free of charge at vaneck.com. Past performance does not predict future returns.

Key Takeaways:

  • The S&P 500 gained 5.26% in May, but leadership was narrow, with mega-cap tech driving most of the gain.
  • Quarterly earnings from software and cybersecurity companies countered fears that AI would displace enterprise software.
  • The Moat Index rose 3.34%, lifted by Fortinet (+60%) and Datadog (+80%) as cybersecurity and software surged.
  • The SMID Moat Index rose 2.22%, with tech gains offset by weakness in energy and materials.

Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Fair value estimates and price targets referenced herein are those of Morningstar's equity research team, are subject to change without notice, and do not constitute recommendations or investment advice.

The Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index (the “Moat Index”) gained 3.34% in May, again trailing the S&P 500 in a narrow, technology-led market that has favored mega-cap names in recent months. The Index spent much of the month in modestly negative territory, down more than 1% by mid-month even as the benchmark pushed to new highs, before a late-month rally in its software and cybersecurity holdings lifted it into positive territory. Both sector allocation and stock selection weighed on relative performance. The Index’s equal-weighted, valuation-conscious construction limited its exposure to the mega-cap technology names that drove much of the benchmark’s gain, while overweights to lagging defensive sectors added to the shortfall.

The Morningstar US Small-Mid Cap Moat Focus Index (the “SMID Moat Index”) rose 2.22% in May, roughly in line with the S&P MidCap 400’s 2.45% gain and leading the S&P SmallCap 600, which advanced 1.04%. Smaller-cap stocks broadly trailed large-caps during the month, a reversal from April, as narrow large-cap leadership reasserted itself. As with the Moat Index, the SMID Moat Index drew its strongest contributions from technology holdings, particularly software, cybersecurity, and semiconductor names tied to the artificial intelligence infrastructure theme. Sector allocation was a modest tailwind, while stock selection was a slight drag, with weakness among materials holdings offsetting some of the strength in technology. The Index followed a similar intra-month path to its large-cap counterpart, slipping early in the month before rallying in the final stretch.

Software and Cybersecurity Lead Equities Higher in May

Source: Morningstar. Data as of 31/05/2026. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not representative of fund performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Please see index definitions and other important disclosures at the end of this content. Fund performance current to the most recent month end is available by visiting vaneck.com.

May was another challenging month for the Moat Index on a relative basis, as both sector allocation and stock selection trailed the S&P 500 during a narrow, technology-led advance. The equal-weighted approach limited the Index’s participation in the mega-cap technology and semiconductor names that led the benchmark, while overweights to defensive sectors weighed further. Even so, the Index was supported by a concentration of strong contributions from software and cybersecurity holdings that capitalized on a broadening of the AI trade beyond semiconductors.

Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) and Palo Alto Networks Inc. (PANW) were among the leading contributors, as cybersecurity names rallied on growing recognition that AI is expanding, rather than shrinking, the market for security. Fortinet shares advanced more than 60% after the company reported strong quarterly earnings results and raised its full-year sales outlook, with management emphasizing that every new AI deployment widens the corporate attack surface and increases demand for protection. Morningstar continues to view Fortinet’s wide moat as supported by customer switching costs and a network effect that strengthens as more threat data flows across its platform. Palo Alto Networks gained approximately 57%, helped by industry developments reinforcing that AI model providers increasingly view large security vendors as partners. Morningstar assigns Palo Alto a wide moat, underpinned by high switching costs across its network, cloud, and security operations platforms, and continues to view the shares as trading below its fair value estimate.

Datadog Inc. (DDOG) and Oracle Corp. (ORCL) led a broader recovery in enterprise software, as strong results eased fears that artificial intelligence would displace traditional software business models. Datadog shares rose more than 80% after the observability software provider reported a strong quarter and pointed to artificial intelligence as an accelerating source of demand for its monitoring tools. Morningstar continues to assign Datadog a wide moat, supported by switching costs and network effects that deepen as more customer data flows through its platform. Oracle advanced roughly 40%, supported by momentum in its cloud infrastructure business and rising demand tied to AI model training and the broader data-center buildout, areas where the stickiness of its database and enterprise software offerings supports durable customer relationships.

Companies detracting the most from Moat Index performance were concentrated in defensive and value-oriented areas of the market that were overlooked during the technology-led advance. Zoetis Inc. (ZTS), an animal health company, was the largest detractor following a sharp decline in its shares. LPL Financial Holdings Inc. (LPLA), a brokerage platform; Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ), a producer of beer, wine, and spirits; Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII), a defense shipbuilder; and Otis Worldwide Corp. (OTIS), an elevator and escalator manufacturer, also weighed on results. The group spanned health care, financials, consumer staples, and industrials, reflecting the broad rotation away from defensive holdings as investors favored higher-growth technology names.

Moat Index Top Contributors and Detractors - May 2026

Contributors

Company Ticker Sector Avg. Weight (%) Contribution (%)
Fortinet Inc. FTNT Technology 2.60 1.66
Datadog Inc. DDOG Technology 1.33 1.16
Palo Alto Networks Inc. PANW Technology 1.41 0.80
Oracle Corp. ORCL Technology 0.95 0.38
Estée Lauder Companies Inc. EL Consumer Staples 2.04 0.33

Detractors

Company Ticker Sector Avg. Weight (%) Contribution (%)
Zoetis Inc. ZTS Health Care 2.46 -0.80
LPL Financial Holdings Inc. LPLA Financials 2.56 -0.46
Constellation Brands Inc. STZ Consumer Staples 2.76 -0.31
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. HII Industrials 1.49 -0.22
Otis Worldwide Corp. OTIS Industrials 2.34 -0.20

Source: Morningstar. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or to sell any of the securities mentioned herein.

The SMID Moat Index also drew its strongest contributions from technology, where software, cybersecurity, and semiconductor holdings tied to the AI theme led performance. Sector allocation was a modest tailwind during the month, while stock selection was a slight drag, with weakness among materials holdings the primary offset.

Several of the same software and cybersecurity names that lifted the Moat Index contributed here as well. Datadog Inc. (DDOG), held in both indexes, was the top contributor as its observability platform benefited from accelerating AI-driven demand, and Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) added to gains on the same cybersecurity strength. Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM), a distributed network, security, and cloud computing provider, advanced approximately 45% as investors responded to its expansion into AI edge computing, including a multiyear agreement to supply compute capacity to a large AI model developer.

Semiconductor holdings tied to AI infrastructure also contributed meaningfully. Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL), a repeat top contributor in recent months, advanced more than 20% after raising its growth outlook, with Morningstar pointing to accelerating demand for its custom AI silicon and optical connectivity chips and viewing the shares as undervalued. Morningstar assigns Marvell a narrow moat, supported by intangible assets in networking chip design and customer switching costs. ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) rose roughly 20% as signs of a cyclical recovery in automotive and industrial chip demand were reinforced by growing exposure to data center power. Morningstar views ON Semiconductor’s narrow moat as supported by a cost advantage in power chips and intangible assets in its automotive image sensors.

Companies detracting the most from SMID Moat Index performance were concentrated in energy and materials, areas pressured by soft commodity prices during the month. Devon Energy Corp. (DVN), an oil and gas producer, extended the weakness among energy names that has persisted as the sector’s geopolitically driven gains earlier in the year unwound. Celanese Corp. (CE) and Albemarle Corp. (ALB), both specialty chemical producers, also declined, alongside Vontier Corp. (VNT), a mobility and industrial technology company, and Oshkosh Corp. (OSK), a specialty vehicle manufacturer. The concentration among commodity-linked and cyclical names reflected the market’s clear preference for technology and growth during the month.

SMID Moat Index Top Contributors and Detractors - May 2026

Contributors

Company Ticker Sector Avg. Weight (%) Contribution (%)
Datadog Inc. DDOG Technology 1.19 1.03
Akamai Technologies Inc. AKAM Technology 1.40 0.63
Marvell Technology Inc. MRVL Technology 2.24 0.54
Fortinet Inc. FTNT Technology 0.66 0.42
ON Semiconductor Corp. ON Technology 1.06 0.21

Detractors

Company Ticker Sector Avg. Weight (%) Contribution (%)
Vontier Corp. VNT Technology 1.23 -0.26
Devon Energy Corp. DVN Energy 1.60 -0.21
Celanese Corp. CE Materials 0.82 -0.18
Albemarle Corp. ALB Materials 1.69 -0.17
Oshkosh Corp. OSK Industrials 0.79 -0.13

Source: Morningstar. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or to sell any of the securities mentioned herein.

VanEck’s suite of moat investing strategies is powered by Morningstar’s equity research team, which seeks quality companies trading at attractive valuations. The below ETFs offer access to moat companies across market segments:

VanEck Morningstar US Wide Moat UCITS ETF (MOTU): Seeks exposure to US companies considered by Morningstar’s equity analysts to have durable competitive advantages and appealing valuations.

VanEck Morningstar US ESG Wide Moat UCITS ETF (MOAT): Invests in potentially attractively priced, ESG-filtered US companies identified for sustainable competitive advantages by Morningstar. ESG Screens include exclusion of companies deriving revenues from Controversial Weapons, Civilian Firearms and Thermal Coal as defined by Sustainalytics as well as companies with higher levels of ESG-related risks according to Sustainalytics Estimates. Applying ESG Screens might also cause the investment universe to be limited in size, and the ETF may perform differently compared to non-screened portfolios. Investors should check all the characteristics of the fund before making any investment decision. Relevant disclosures can be found on fund page as well as under this link. The fund does not perceive a sustainable investment objective.

VanEck Morningstar US SMID Moat UCITS ETF (SMOT): Focuses on potentially undervalued US small- and mid-cap companies identified for their possible durable competitive advantages.

VanEck Morningstar Global Wide Moat UCITS ETF (GOAT): Targets high-quality global companies with wide economic moats and potential for long-term growth according to Morningstar.

The ETFs mentioned involve several risks. These include stock market risk (the value of your investment can go up or down), concentration risk (the ETFs may focus on certain sectors or companies and invest in fewer securities than those tracking plain benchmarks), and currency risk (returns can be affected by exchange rate changes).

Additional risks include valuation risk (companies that seem cheap may not perform well), smaller company risk (as smaller firms can be more volatile. Because the ETFs use equal weighting, each company has the same impact on performance, which may lead to different results compared to market-cap-weighted benchmarks. There’s also a chance the ETF doesn’t fully match its index performance (tracking error).

For further information on risks and other important information, please refer to the KID/KIID and the Prospectus of the funds, available at www.vaneck.com before investing.

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The source for all performance data points, contributions, and company research is Morningstar Direct, as of 5 June 2026, unless stated otherwise.

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The value of the ETF may fluctuate significantly as a result of the investment strategy. The ETF´s holdings are disclosed on each dealing day on www.vaneck.com under the ETF´s Holdings section and as per PCF under the Documents section and published via one or more market data suppliers. The indicative net asset value (iNAV) of the ETF is available on Bloomberg. For details on the regulated markets where the ETF is listed, please refer to the Trading Information section on the ETF page at www.vaneck.com. Investors must buy and sell units of the UCITS on the secondary market via an intermediary (e.g. a broker) and cannot usually be sold directly back to the UCITS. Brokerage fees may incur. The buying price may exceed, or the selling price may be lower than the current net asset value. Investing in the ETF should be interpreted as acquiring shares of the ETF and not the underlying assets. Tax treatment depends on the personal circumstances of each investor and may vary over time. The ManCo may terminate the marketing of the ETF in one or more jurisdictions. The summary of the investor rights is available in English at: summary-of-investor-rights.pdf.

Please refer to the Prospectus – in English language - and the KID/KIID - in local language - before making any final investment decisions and for full information on risks. These documents can be obtained free of charge at www.vaneck.com, from the ManCo or from the appointed facility agent.

VanEck Morningstar US Wide Moat UCITS ETF ("ETF") is a sub-fund of VanEck UCITS ETFs plc, a UCITS umbrella investment company , registered with the Central Bank of Ireland, passively managed and tracking an equity index.

The value of the ETF may fluctuate significantly as a result of the investment strategy. The ETF´s holdings are disclosed on each dealing day on www.vaneck.com under the ETF´s Holdings section and as per PCF under the Documents section and published via one or more market data suppliers. The indicative net asset value (iNAV) of the ETF is available on Bloomberg. For details on the regulated markets where the ETF is listed, please refer to the Trading Information section on the ETF page at www.vaneck.com. Investors must buy and sell units of the UCITS on the secondary market via an intermediary (e.g. a broker) and cannot usually be sold directly back to the UCITS. Brokerage fees may incur. The buying price may exceed, or the selling price may be lower than the current net asset value. Investing in the ETF should be interpreted as acquiring shares of the ETF and not the underlying assets. Tax treatment depends on the personal circumstances of each investor and may vary over time. The ManCo may terminate the marketing of the ETF in one or more jurisdictions. The summary of the investor rights is available in English at: summary-of-investor-rights.pdf.

Please refer to the Prospectus – in English language - and the KID/KIID - in local language - before making any final investment decisions and for full information on risks. These documents can be obtained free of charge at www.vaneck.com, from the ManCo or from the appointed facility agent.

VanEck Morningstar US SMID Moat UCITS ETF ("ETF") is a sub-fund of VanEck UCITS ETFs plc, a UCITS umbrella investment company, registered with the Central Bank of Ireland, passively managed and tracking an equity index.

The value of the ETF may fluctuate significantly as a result of the investment strategy. The ETF´s holdings are disclosed on each dealing day on www.vaneck.com under the ETF´s Holdings section and as per PCF under the Documents section and published via one or more market data suppliers. The indicative net asset value (iNAV) of the ETF is available on Bloomberg. For details on the regulated markets where the ETF is listed, please refer to the Trading Information section on the ETF page at www.vaneck.com. Investors must buy and sell units of the UCITS on the secondary market via an intermediary (e.g. a broker) and cannot usually be sold directly back to the UCITS. Brokerage fees may incur. The buying price may exceed, or the selling price may be lower than the current net asset value. Investing in the ETF should be interpreted as acquiring shares of the ETF and not the underlying assets. Tax treatment depends on the personal circumstances of each investor and may vary over time. The ManCo may terminate the marketing of the ETF in one or more jurisdictions. The summary of the investor rights is available in English at: summary-of-investor-rights.pdf.

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