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While the outcome of this most recent market sell-off and related pandemic are yet-to-be-seen, we remain optimistic about the outlook for gold and gold stocks in the near-term. Much of the market movement in gold prices is relatively easy to explain, while gold companies continue to exhibit, we believe, truly compelling fundamentals and valuations. With respect to the pandemic, companies are taking all precautions, and although we do anticipate that some operations will be impacted, discussions we have had with companies indicate that every effort is being made to ensure inventories, supply lines, employee health and back-up redundancies are in place to sustain production.
Below is a summary of our most recent takeaways.
Source: VanEck, Bloomberg. Data as of March 2020. “S&P 500” represented by the S&P 500 Index TR (SPXT). “Gold Stocks” represented by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index Net Total Return (GDMNTR). “Gold” represented by gold spot prices.
Source: VanEck, Bloomberg. Data as of March 2020. Index returns are cumulative. “S&P 500” represented by the S&P 500 TR Index (SPXT). “Gold Stocks” represented by Barron’s Gold Mining Index (BGMI) from January 1973 to inception date of the Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (XAUTR) in January 1984 and XAUTR to the inception of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index Net Total Return (GDMNTR) in October 1993. “Gold” represented by gold spot prices
We believe that gold stocks, generally speaking, remain in fundamentally good shape.
Source: VanEck, Bloomberg. Data as of March 2020. “Senior” miners defined by production levels of approximately 1.5-6.0 million ounces of gold per year (“Mid-Tier” approximately 0.3-1.5 million ounces per year).
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