Introducing the Defense Industry’s ‘Titan 5’
21 July 2025
In Greek, the word titan signifies great strength. It comes from mythology, as the Titans were the pre-Olympian gods and revered for their vigor and power.
Key Risks: Government policy shifts, defense budget cuts, export controls and sanctions, political risk in client nations, trade policy volatility, dependence on government contracts, project delays and cost overruns, subcontractor and supplier reliability, cybersecurity threats, technological obsolescence, R&D failures. These factors can lead to significant losses, and past rallies may not be repeated.
In Greek, the word titan signifies great strength. It comes from mythology, as the Titans were the pre-Olympian gods and revered for their vigor and power.
Against a backdrop of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, strength in the form of military power is back at the top of the agenda. Look no further than June’s NATO summit, where several members of the alliance signed up to more than double defense and security spending from 2% to 5% of economic output, or gross domestic product, by 2035. No formal treaty obligation exists yet1. While being overall a positive milestone for defense companies, there is still a risk that the political situation can change, and promises will not materialize. Please refer to the main risk factors section in the fund prospectus, website as well as below in this article. Key risks include sudden reductions in government defense budgets, export-license suspensions, currency fluctuations, sector concentration, and equity-market volatility. These factors could lead to a full loss of the invested capital.
It’s little wonder that defense stocks have been standout performers over the last 12 months. We have identified five of the industry’s leaders – what we call the ‘Titan 5’ – each of them generating triple-digit share price returns in 20242 and continuing to perform in 2025. Between them, they represent almost a third of the VanEck Defense UCITS ETF (DFNS) and give an insight into what’s driving its appreciation3.
These are the Titan 5, please note that these companies are currently a part of the portfolio as of June 2025 and represent only a small part of the invested capital:
- Palantir Technologies, a US data intelligence company, supplies software to governments and their militaries. It reported revenues of $884 million for the first quarter of 2025, up by 39% on the same period in 20244,5. While being a pioneer in its area, new technologies bring a lot of uncertainty and projected growth might not materialize, strongly affecting the share price.
Feature Details Founded 2003 Headquarters Denver, Colorado, USA Key Products Palantir Gotham, Palantir Foundry Focus Areas Big Data, AI, Government, Defense, Healthcare Notable Clients US Department of Defense, NHS, Airbus Specialty Secure and scalable data analysis platforms
- Like other Asian defense companies, shares in Hanwha Aerospace, South Korea’s largest defense group, have soared in anticipation of orders as Europe rearms. Its sales rose by 278% in the first quarter of 2025 compared with the previous year6,7. Order growth may stall if European defense spending softens, export licenses are restricted or currency moves turn adverse, which could cause significant share price declines and potential capital loss.
Feature Details Founded 1977 (as Samsung Precision) Headquarters Changwon, South Korea Key Products Aircraft engines, K9 Thunder, space launch systems Focus Areas Aerospace, Defense Systems, Powertrain Notable Clients Korean military, global defense exports Specialty Precision defense manufacturing
- Italian defense stock Leonardo, one of Europe’s defense champions, saw its order book rise by more than 15% to €20.9 bn in 20248, and the company gears up to meet further growth in orders. It is reasonable to keep in mind that the current environment could still lead to a fall in government aerospace budgets, project delays or cost overruns could reverse recent share gains and lead to heavy investor losses.
Feature Details Founded 1948 (as Finmeccanica) Headquarters Rome, Italy Key Products AW helicopters, Eurofighter Typhoon, electronics Focus Areas Aerospace, Defense, Cybersecurity, Electronics Notable Clients Italian Ministry of Defense, NATO, EU countries Specialty Integrated defense and aerospace systems
- Germany’s Hensoldt, a manufacturer of air defense radars, recently offered to take on laid off car workers as it sought to meet a record order backlog standing at €6.6 bn at the end of 20249,10. With all recent tailwinds for the company, it is worth keeping in mind that contract cancellations, tighter defense budgets or supply-chain shortages could sharply reduce earnings and erode the share price.
Feature Details Founded 2017 (spin-off from Airbus) Headquarters Taufkirchen, Germany Key Products Radars, electro-optics, electronic warfare systems Focus Areas Defense Electronics, Surveillance, AI Notable Clients German Ministry of Defense, NATO, international partners Specialty Sensor fusion and radar tech
- The final member of the Titan 5 is the UK’s Babcock International, which makes submarines and warships. The group’s operating profit surged by 51% to £364 million in the 12 months to March 31, 202511. As with many other defense companies, reduced naval procurement, cost inflation or schedule slippage on key programs could hurt profitability and drive the share price lower.
Feature Details Founded 1891 Headquarters London, UK Key Products Naval platforms, submarine maintenance, engineering Focus Areas Defense, Nuclear, Infrastructure support Notable Clients UK Ministry of Defense, Australian Navy, international navies Specialty Maritime and complex asset management
As Europe’s militaries undergo a once-in-a-generation rearming, these companies’ order books are surging, as are their share prices. Taken together with the other shares held by the VanEck Defense UCITS ETF (DFNS), they have lifted it to a gain of 56.49%.
Source: VanEck. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The fund was launched on 31 May 2023.
Performance History: Average Annual Total Returns* (%)
| Quarter End as of 30 Jun 2025 | ||||||||
| 1 MO* | 3 MO* | YTD* | 1 YR | 3 YR | 5 YR | 10 YR | ETF INCEPTION | |
| ETF | 5.49 | 28.38 | 56.49 | 83.31 | -- | -- | -- | 58.41 |
*Periods greater than one year are annualised. Reference periods indicate cumulative performance, not annualized.
The rise in NATO spending, especially in Europe, is widely agreed to have transformed the outlook for the defense sector. As order books rise there’s a greater likelihood of companies benefiting from long-term contracts and sustained demand for their products and services.
It’s also important to note that defense expenditure has historically been agnostic of the economic climate. US defense spending rose in the last three recessions14.
The ETF’s underlying index focuses on:
- Investments in defense companies: Constituents must derive 50% (25% for current components) of their revenues from the military or defense industries.
- Exclusion criteria: Companies involved in controversial weapons such as anti-personnel landmines are excluded, as well as companies violating established norms. It is worth noting that the fund neither has a sustainable investment objective nor promotes environmental and/or social (E/S) characteristics15.
Given the rally in the Titan 5 and other defense stocks, it’s natural for investors to wonder if they have missed the opportunity. Geopolitical uncertainty, military spending pledges and bulging order books would suggest otherwise.
At the same time, investors should bear in mind that investing in equities is risky. You may lose money up to the total loss of your investment due to the Main Risk Factors such as Equity Market Risk, Liquidity Risks and Industry or Sector Concentration Risk described in the KID and in the sales prospectus. Market evolution is not guaranteed.
1 Source: NATO, as of 27 June 2025.
2 Source: Morningstar, the data for the period between 01 Jan 2024 and 31 Dec 2024 and between 01 Jan 2025 and 30 June 2025 in local currencies.
3 Source: VanEck, as of 30 June 2025.
4 Source: Palantir Technologies, as of 30 June 2025.
5 Please note past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and specific risks apply to investing in single stocks.
6 Source: Hanwha Aerospace, as of 30 June 2025.
7 Please note past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and specific risks apply to investing in single stocks.
8 Source: Leonardo, as of 30 June 2025.
9 Source: Hensoldt, as of 30 June 2025
10 Please note past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and specific risks apply to investing in single stocks.
11 Source: Babcock International, as of 30 June 2025.
12 Source: VanEck. Data for the period between 1 January 2025 and 30 June 2025. Further periods are available on the fund page.
13 Please note past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The past-performance figures are shown in US dollars (USD).
14 Source: SIPRI Military Expenditure Database, as of 30 June 2025.
15 The decision to invest in the VanEck Defense UCITS ETF should take into account all of the fund’s characteristics or objectives as described in the prospectus, the KID/KIID and other legal documentation.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION
This is marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KID/KIID before making any final investment decisions. These documents are available in English and the KIDs/KIIDs in local languages and can be obtained free of charge at www.vaneck.com, from VanEck Asset Management B.V. (the “Management Company”) or, where applicable, from the relevant appointed facility agent for your country.
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VanEck Defense UCITS ETF (the "ETF") is a sub-fund of VanEck UCITS ETFs plc, an open-ended variable capital umbrella investment company with limited liability between sub-funds. The ETF is registered with the Central Bank of Ireland, passively managed and tracks an equity index. For details on the regulated markets where the ETF is listed, please refer to the Trading Information section on the ETF page at www.vaneck.com. Investing in the ETF should be interpreted as acquiring shares of the ETF and not the underlying assets.
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Important Disclosure
This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KID before making any final investment decisions.
This information originates from VanEck (Europe) GmbH, which has been appointed as distributor of VanEck products in Europe by the Management Company VanEck Asset Management B.V., incorporated under Dutch law and registered with the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM). VanEck (Europe) GmbH with registered address at Kreuznacher Str. 30, 60486 Frankfurt, Germany, is a financial services provider regulated by the Federal Financial Supervisory Authority in Germany (BaFin).
The information is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice VanEck (Europe) GmbH, VanEck Switzerland AG, VanEck Securities UK Limited and their associated and affiliated companies (together “VanEck”) assume no liability with regards to any investment, divestment or retention decision taken by the investor on the basis of this information. The views and opinions expressed are those of the author(s) but not necessarily those of VanEck. Opinions are current as of the publication date and are subject to change with market conditions. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results. Information provided by third party sources is believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. Brokerage or transaction fees may apply.
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