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  • Investment Outlook

    Delegate the Work of Valuation

    Jan van Eck, Chief Executive Officer
    May 12, 2021
     

    The part of Morningstar’s economic moat research process that I like the most is that Morningstar ascribes a “fair value” to each of the stocks that it covers. Based on this fair value, at each quarterly review of the Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM, over-valued wide moat stocks leave the index and under-valued stocks enter the index.

    There are not many ETFs that provide this benefit.

    While the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index is anything but a value strategy, it is interesting to note that the index has recently shifted towards a “value” bias.

    Valuation Opportunities Drive Style Exposure

    Valuation Opportunities

    Size of circles increase from start date to end date. March 31, 2021 represented by white outline.

    Source: Morningstar. Morningstar style box represents the holdings-based exposure to market capitalization (Micro through Giant capitalization) and style (Deep Value through High Growth).

    Some of those changes may surprise you. In March 2021, the index added Google and sold Bank of America.

    Attractive Price/Fair Value Brings Alphabet (GOOGL) into the Moat Index

    Attractive Price/Fair Value Brings Alphabet (GOOGL) into the Moat Index

    Source: Morningstar. Data as of 3/31/2021. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only.

    Bank of America (BAC) Exits the Moat Index After Becoming Over-valued

    Bank of America (BAC) Exits the Moat Index After Becoming Over-valued

    Source: Morningstar. Data as of 3/31/2021. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only.

    Moat Index Q1 Review: Buys and Sells

    Added Index Constituents
    Company Ticker
    Alphabet Inc A GOOGL
    Facebook Inc A FB
    Cerner Corp CERN
    ServiceNow, Inc. NOW
    Tyler Technologies Inc TYL
    Roper Technologies Inc ROP
    Adobe Inc ADBE
    Northrop Grumman Corp NOC
    Dominion Energy Inc D
    Removed Index Constituents
    Company Ticker
    US Bancorp USB
    Microchip Tech MCHP
    Lam Research Corp LRCX
    Applied Materials Inc AMAT
    Polaris Inc PII
    Bank of America Corp BAC
    John Wiley & Sons Inc. A JW.A
    Charles Schwab Corp SCHW
    American Express Co AXP

    Source: Morningstar.

    For a complete list of changes, see the latest moat index review results here. If you’d like to receive regular moat investing updates, please subscribe here.

    DISCLOSURES

    Please note that VanEck may offer investments products that invest in the asset class(es) or industries included herein.

    This is not an offer to buy or sell, or recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are valid as of the date of this communication and subject to change without notice. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck.

    An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Returns reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any. Certain indices may take into account withholding taxes. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. The Index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, nor does the Index lend securities, and no revenues from securities lending were added to the performance shown.

    Fair value estimate: the Morningstar analyst's estimate of what a stock is worth.

    Price/Fair Value: ratio of a stock's trading price to its fair value estimate.

    The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM was created and is maintained by Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar, Inc. does not sponsor, endorse, issue, sell, or promote the VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF and bears no liability with respect to that ETF or any security. Morningstar® is a registered trademark of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM is a service mark of Morningstar, Inc.

    The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM consists of U.S. companies identified as having sustainable, competitive advantages and whose stocks are attractively priced, according to Morningstar.

    Effective June 20, 2016, Morningstar implemented several changes to the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index construction rules. Among other changes, the index increased its constituent count from 20 stocks to at least 40 stocks and modified its rebalance and reconstitution methodology. These changes may result in more diversified exposure, lower turnover and longer holding periods for index constituents than under the rules in effect prior to this date.

    The S&P 500® Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates and has been licensed for use by Van Eck Associates Corporation. Copyright © 2021 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global, Inc., and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit www.spdji.com. S&P® is a registered trademark of S&P Global and Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the ability of any index to accurately represent the asset class or market sector that it purports to represent and neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors shall have any liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index or the data included therein.

    All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. As with any investment strategy, there is no guarantee that investment objectives will be met and investors may lose money. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

  • Authored by

    Jan van Eck
    Chief Executive Officer

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